Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Negelle Arsi: Relegation-threatened hosts seek response against stubborn travellers
Welwalo Adigrat Uni host Negelle Arsi on 6 May at 15:00 (GMT) in a league fixture shaped by poor recent form, narrow scorelines and contrasting home and away records.
Welwalo arrive on the back of a five-match run of LLDLL, a sequence that has dragged them towards the lower reaches of the table and left little margin for error in the closing weeks of the campaign. Negelle Arsi’s own sequence of DLLDD underlines a different problem, with points slipping away through draws rather than heavy defeats.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0 assists, (Negelle Arsi) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0, (Negelle Arsi) — 0
- Tackles: None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None, None (Negelle Arsi) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0, (Negelle Arsi) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None, None (Negelle Arsi) — None.
- Red cards: None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None, None (Negelle Arsi) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
Welwalo’s season at home has been marked by inconsistency. They have recorded 8 wins, 11 draws and 10 losses, illustrating a side that is competitive but rarely dominant. Their best result in front of their own supporters has been a 2-0 victory, while the heaviest defeat they have suffered at home is 1-4, underlining a vulnerability when they fall behind and are forced to chase games.
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni — LLDLL
- Negelle Arsi — DLLDD
Away from home, Negelle Arsi have built a reputation as one of the league’s more resilient travellers. Their away record stands at 11 wins, 12 draws and 6 defeats, a return that keeps them competitive in the table and makes them dangerous visitors. They have achieved their biggest away win by a 0-3 scoreline, while their heaviest away defeat has been a relatively modest 2-0 loss, suggesting they rarely capitulate on their travels.
According to home statistics this season, Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 11.11% | 26.67% |
| 16-30 | 14.81% | 10.00% |
| 31-45 | 18.52% | 13.33% |
| 46-60 | 7.41% | 6.67% |
| 61-75 | 18.52% | 30.00% |
| 76-90 | 25.93% | 13.33% |
| 91-105 | 3.70% |
Negelle Arsi has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 22.22% | 10.00% |
| 16-30 | 11.11% | 10.00% |
| 31-45 | 11.11% | 10.00% |
| 46-60 | 14.81% | 15.00% |
| 61-75 | 11.11% | 20.00% |
| 76-90 | 29.63% | 35.00% |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Negelle Arsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Negelle Arsi | |
| 45.3% | Winning the game | 45.3% |
| 64% | Attack potential | 64% |
| 36% | Potential in defense | 36% |
| 0% | Strength against each other | 0% |
| 0% | Goal Potential | 0% |
Summary: the probability of Negelle Arsi winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Welwalo Adigrat Uni, most likely, loss (loss or draw)
Goal Forecast:Welwalo Adigrat Uni, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Negelle Arsi is likely to score no more than -2.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Negelle Arsi will take place on May 06 at 15:00 (GMT) at the stadium .
