Mamelodi Sundowns v ES Tunis: Champions League heavyweights collide in high‑stakes showdown

Nuhu Adams April 16, 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns and ES Tunis meet on 18 April at 13:00 (GMT) in a CAF Champions League clash that brings together two in‑form sides with serious continental ambitions. The match pitches Sundowns’ strong home pedigree against ES Tunis’ impressive away record in a contest that is likely to influence the balance of power in this season’s competition.

Mamelodi Sundowns arrive in this tie on the back of a five‑match unbeaten run in all competitions, with a sequence of WWWDD underlining their consistency. ES Tunis are in even sharper form, with WWWWD across their last five fixtures, signalling momentum and resilience as they travel south.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

Assists: (Mamelodi Sundowns) — 0 assists, (ES Tunis) — 0 assists.
Goalkeepers saves: (Mamelodi Sundowns) — 0, (ES Tunis) — 0
Tackles: None (Mamelodi Sundowns) — None, None (ES Tunis) — None.
Most encounters won: (Mamelodi Sundowns) — 0, (ES Tunis) — 0.
Yellow cards: None (Mamelodi Sundowns) — None, None (ES Tunis) — None.
Red cards: None (Mamelodi Sundowns) — None, None (ES Tunis) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

Trézéguet (6, Al Ahly)
Abdel Raouf (5, Al Hilal Omdurman)
Ahmed Atef Otta (4, Pyramids FC)
B. León (4, Mamelodi Sundowns)
M. Chouiar (4, Renaissance Berkane)

Team statistics:

Sundowns’ home record this season offers a firm platform. They have produced 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats on their own ground, combining a structured defence with controlled possession. Their biggest home victory of the campaign stands at 3-0, highlighting their ability to break matches open when they find rhythm in the final third.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

Mamelodi Sundowns — WWWDD
ES Tunis — WWWWD

Away from home, ES Tunis have been one of the most efficient travellers in African football. Their record of 8 wins, 3 draws and only 2 defeats on the road reflects tactical discipline and confidence in hostile environments. A 0-3 away success marks their most emphatic win on their travels this season and demonstrates how dangerous they can be when counter-attacking opportunities appear.

According to home statistics this season, Mamelodi Sundowns scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	15.00%	22.22%
16-30	10.00%	11.11%
31-45	15.00%	33.33%
46-60	15.00%	11.11%
61-75	35.00%	11.11%
76-90	10.00%	11.11%
91-105

ES Tunis has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	4.76%	12.50%
16-30	9.52%	37.50%
31-45	14.29%	37.50%
46-60	14.29%	12.50%
61-75	23.81%
76-90	33.33%
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
Teams	Games	H	A	H	A	H	A
Mamelodi Sundowns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ES Tunis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Mamelodi Sundowns		ES Tunis
53.8%	Winning the game	53.8%
54%	Attack potential	54%
57%	Potential in defense	57%
50%	Strength against each other	50%
50%	Goal Potential	50%

Summary: the probability of ES Tunis winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Mamelodi Sundowns, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Mamelodi Sundowns, is likely to score -2.5 goals, ES Tunis is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Mamelodi Sundowns and ES Tunis will take place on April 18 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium.